One of the most accurate polls of the 2016 presidential election, the Investors Business Daily/TIPP poll shows a tightening race between Democrat Joe Biden and President Donald Trump among likely voters.
The race is the closest since the daily tracking poll started Oct. 12, down to just 5 points nationally, which is just outside the margin of error.
The results in a four-way race:
- Biden 49.5%.
- Trump 44.5%.
- Libertarian Jo Jorgensen 2.4%.
- Green Party Howie Hawkins 1%.
Biden held a lead as much as 8.6 percentage points just this Tuesday, and Biden’s high in support was 51.9%, per the poll.
Even the head-to-head matchup between the top party candidates has tightened to 5.7 percentage points, as Biden has slipped down almost 3 points while Trump has gained 2 points.
The poll does suggest Trump is not quite as strong as he was in 2016 among independents, seniors, suburbs, Blacks, Hispanics, whites, and men.
Furthermore, 8% of Trump’s 2016 voters say they are flipping to Biden this election.
IBD/TIPP 2020 polled 1,021 likely voters Oct. 13-17 including 384 Democrats, 344 Republicans, and 287 independents, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
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