President Trump has pulled ahead of Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in Iowa three days before the election.
Trump has an advantage of 7 percentage points over Biden, 48% to 41%, according to the last Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll of the 2020 cycle. Another 3% of respondents told pollsters they will vote for another candidate, 2% were still undecided, and 5% didn’t want to say who they were supporting.
Trump’s lead is a vast improvement from the organizations’ September poll, which had the rivals tied at 47% to 47% apiece. The president’s team, though, seems uncertain about their prospects in Iowa, scheduling stops in the state during the final week of the campaign.
Saturday’s November poll also reported favorable numbers for Republican Sen. Joni Ernst, who’s vying for a second term against Democratic challenger Theresa Greenfield, a real estate executive.
In that race, Ernst has a 4-point edge on her opponent, 46% to 42%. Another 3% will vote for someone else, 1% don’t plan to cast a ballot in the Senate contest, 3% weren’t sure who they were supporting, and 4% preferred not to tell pollsters their candidate of choice.
Ernst trailed Greenfield by 3 points in the Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll’s June and September iterations, with Biden traveling to the state last Friday to help her.
Including the latest figures, Trump averages a 0.5-point lead on Biden for Iowa’s six electoral votes ahead of Tuesday’s election, according to RealClearPolitics. Greenfield averages a 0.7-point lead on Ernst in their race that could help decide who controls the Senate.
Well-known firm Selzer & Co. conducted the polls of 814 likely Iowa voters via live landline and cellphone interviews between Monday and Thursday. The findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 points.